About this Blog

During the semester, I shall post course material and students will comment on it. Students are also free to comment on any aspect of the presidency, either current or historical. There are only two major limitations: no coarse language, and no derogatory comments about people at the Claremont Colleges.

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Monday, November 23, 2009

Freakonomics: The President's Party and the Economy

The Freakonomics blog posted on how the economy fares under different Presidents.

The salient points:

Since 1949, Democratic presidents almost always presided over a decreasing or flattening of income inequality. During that same time period, Republican presidents have always presided over increasing income inequality.

...

Additionally, real per-capita G.D.P. growth for all income strata is consistently higher under Democratic presidents. Individuals in the 95th percentile, however, do well under both Democratic and Republican presidents, but growth for the rich still tends to be higher when a Republican is in office.

...

Democrats preside over lower levels of unemployment while their Republican counterparts have historically presided over lower levels of inflation. The most accepted explanation for this phenomenon is the existence of a short-run Philips Curve in which inflation and unemployment are inversely related.

...

In the first two years of a Democratic president’s term, the economic growth accelerates. During the third and fourth years, however, the economic growth decreases. The opposite effect is seen with Republican presidents, who preside over decreasing overall growth during the first two years of their term only to have it followed by increased economic growth as re-election looms

Economic Policymaking

Centrality of economic issues in current public opinion

Graphs and data

The Federal Budget Challenge

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Presidential Court Packing

A recent Obama nominee to the Chicago-based appeals court was just confirmed.

Democrats on Tuesday crushed a Senate filibuster against a controversial appeals court nominee, demonstrating to Republicans they can't stop President Barack Obama from turning the federal judiciary to the left.



HuffPo goes on to say:

Beyond the political message, the filibuster effectively ended a bipartisan accord reached in 2005, when 14 senators signed onto a deal that effectively stopped Democratic filibusters of Bush's judicial nominees except in extraordinary circumstances...

The Senate confirmed 326 of Bush's court nominees. There are 876 court seats, mostly for the regionally based courts of appeals and lower district courts.
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Domestic Policy and Civil Rights

Little Rock executive order

JFK on civil rights:



LBJ & Mississippi Burning

Stages of the Policy Process
  1. Initiation/Streams: Problems, Solutions, Politics
  2. Estimation
  3. Selection
  4. Implementation
  5. Evaluation
  6. Termination

Monday, November 16, 2009

Navigating Nuances in Nippon

http://www.newsmax.com/insidecover/obama_emperor_bow/2009/11/15/286508.html

Though Newsmax is hardly CNN.com, the article focuses on the history of the presidency when discussing the nature and ramifications of BO's back issues in front of foreign leaders.

The President and the Judiciary

How do presidents try to influence the courts? Once way is through legal arguments. Note the role of the Solicitor General.

Supreme Court nominations can be crucial.